CF
Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. Materials Agricultural Chemicals S&P 500Russell 3000
$123.30Close
$18.9BMarket cap
$74.99 – $139.2752-week range
Nov 4, 2026Next report · after the close
Highlights
Strengths
- Tight base near its pivot pullbacks 22% → 7%; 1.1% above its $121.99 pivot
- Volume drying up last 10 days 30% under the 50-day average
- Earnings growing EPS +87% year on year
Cautions
- Trend not confirmed 7 of 8 conditions · under the 50-day
- Results soon Nov 4, 2026, in 3 days
Price
Filing Results Screen pick 52-week high and low Adjusted prices
Key figures
Off 12-month high
11%
1wk
up 2.2%
price change
1mo
up 7.0%
price change
12-month return
up 52%
market up 11% ·
its own up 39%
F-score
8 / 9
Exceptional
Altman Z
2.83
Moderate risk
P/E
10.5×
price / earnings
PEG
0.30
P/E / EPS growth
P/B
3.9×
price / book
Earnings yield
up 11.4%
EBIT / enterprise value
Cheaper than
75%
of the market · cheap
Revenue growth
up 19%
year on year
EPS growth
up 87%
latest quarter · -23 pts
Sales growth
up 18%
latest quarter · -2 pts
ROE
up 37%
return on equity
Free cash margin
up 25%
$1.8B FCF
D/E
0.66
long-term debt / equity
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4×
Interest cover
14.8×EBIT / interest
Piotroski tests
- took on more long-term debt
- profitable on its assets
- generating cash from operations
- profitability improving
- profits backed by cash
- short-term liquidity improved
- no new shares issued
- gross margin widened
- assets working harder
Repair signals
- Gross margin 34.6% → 38.5%
- Revenue reaccelerating (-10% then +19%)
Trade setup
ATR%
3.3%
$4.05 a day · 2×ATR $115.19
RS
76 / 99
vs the universe
Trend
7 / 8
under the 50-day
Relative volume
0.7×
vs 50-day average
Up/down volume
0.98
50 sessions
Implied move
6.9%
by Nov 6, 2026 · report Nov 4, 2026
Contractions
2
22% → 7%
Pivot
$121.99
1.1% above
Volume dry-up
0.7×
10 vs 50 sessions
Trend template · 7 of 8
- Price above the 50-day average: fails
Screen verdict
-
Contraction Setup in mixed conditions
- RS 76
- Trend 7/8
- 2 contractions (22% → 7%)
- 1.1% above pivot 121.99
- Volume at 70% of its 50d average
- EPS growth +87% (accel -23 pts)
Warning signs
- No restatement or impairment
- Equity positive
- Interest covered
- No material dilution
- Profits tracking cash
- Margins and revenue not shrinking
Last reported
Aug 5, 2026
Results reaction
Aug 5, 2026-1% vs market2 sessions after results
Options
$890,32545.0% IV · activity
Financials
- Gross 38%
- Net 25%
- Free cash 25%
- Cash
- Long-term debt
| FY2020Dec 31, 2020 | FY2021Dec 31, 2021 | FY2022Dec 31, 2022 | FY2023Dec 31, 2023 | FY2024Dec 31, 2024 | FY2025Dec 31, 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.1B | $6.5B | $11.2B | $6.6B | $5.9B | $7.1B |
| Gross margin | 19% | 37% | 52% | 38% | 35% | 38% |
| Operating income | $623.0M | $1.7B | $5.4B | $2.2B | $1.7B | $2.3B |
| Net income | $432.0M | $1.3B | $3.9B | $1.8B | $1.5B | $1.8B |
| Net margin | 10% | 19% | 35% | 28% | 25% | 25% |
| Earnings per share | $2.01 | $5.83 | $19.28 | $9.48 | $8.17 | $11.09 |
| Free cash flow | $922.0M | $2.4B | $3.4B | $2.3B | $1.8B | $1.8B |
| Free cash margin | 22% | 36% | 30% | 34% | 30% | 25% |
| Cash | $683.0M | $1.6B | $2.3B | $2.0B | $1.6B | $2.0B |
| Long-term debt | $3.7B | $3.5B | $3.0B | $3.0B | $3.0B | $3.2B |
| Shareholders' equity | $2.9B | $3.2B | $5.1B | $5.7B | $5.0B | $4.8B |
| Shares outstanding | 213.95m | 207.58m | 195.60m | 188.19m | 169.88m | 153.55m |
Next report
Nov 4, 2026 · after the close
Expected move The move, either way, the option market prices in through the next scheduled report: the at-the-money straddle for the first expiry that contains it, over the price. It includes the days around the report, so it slightly overstates the report alone. Methodology
±6.9%
$115 – $132 by Nov 6, 2026
Usual move The median, over the company's last four reports, of how far the stock moved either way from the close before the filing to the close of the session after it. Methodology
±4.9%
last 4: -1.2% · -7.3% · +6.0% · -3.7%
Expected against usual The move the options price through this report over the move the last four reports delivered. Above 1 the event is priced bigger than the company's own record; below 1, smaller. A price, not a forecast: it says what protection through the report costs, not which way the stock will go. Methodology
Bigger than usual
1.4× the usual move
What options price now
- Expected 1-month range The at-the-money straddle for the expiry nearest a month out, as a share of the price: the move, either way, the option market is pricing by then. The range is the price plus and minus that move; the stock ends inside it a little more often than not. Methodology
- $112 – $135 ±9.6% by Nov 27, 2026
- Swings expected vs recent The daily swings the options are priced for (implied volatility) against the swings the stock actually had over the last 20 sessions (realised volatility). Bigger means options charge for more movement than the stock has been delivering; smaller, less. On a contract row, that contract's own implied volatility over the stock's realised. Methodology
- Bigger 45.0% priced · 27.1% recent
- Next month vs later At-the-money implied volatility for 8-45 day expiries over 46-90 day ones: whether options price the coming month as choppier or calmer than the two after it. Ahead of a report it usually reads choppier, and the extra comes out once the report is out. Methodology
- Choppier
- Crash protection What options that pay off in a fall cost against options that pay off in a rise (the 25-delta skew), compared with this company's own normal - the median of its stored nightly readings, once there are 20 - and with five sessions ago. Protection costs a little more than upside on most shares. More than usual means readers of the chain are paying up to insure against a drop; it does not say which way the stock will go. Methodology
- past week: no change
Positioning
- Premium traded
- $890,325 calls $794,665 · puts $95,660 · latest session
- 0.12× -0.43 over the week
- Open interest added The change over five sessions in option positions left open overnight, calls and puts. A rise means positions were added. It cannot say whether they were bought or sold, so more calls is not a vote for a rise: a call is as often sold against shares already held. Methodology
- calls -227 · puts -1.59k past week
For options traders: ATM IV 45.0% (-0.8% 1w) · 1m ÷ 3m IV 1.06 · 25Δ skew 0.6 pts · Net GEX $4.4M
Most traded contracts
No contract passed the liquidity filters this week.
Filings
| Filed | Report | Period to | Lag |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Quarterly ↗ | Jun 30, 2026 | 37d |
| May 7, 2026 | Quarterly ↗ | Mar 31, 2026 | 37d |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Annual ↗ | Dec 31, 2025 | 56d |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Quarterly ↗ | Sep 30, 2025 | 37d |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Quarterly ↗ | Jun 30, 2025 | 38d |
| May 8, 2025 | Quarterly ↗ | Mar 31, 2025 | 38d |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Annual ↗ | Dec 31, 2024 | 51d |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Quarterly ↗ | Sep 30, 2024 | 31d |
| Aug 8, 2024 | Quarterly ↗ | Jun 30, 2024 | 39d |
| May 2, 2024 | Quarterly ↗ | Mar 31, 2024 | 32d |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Annual ↗ | Dec 31, 2023 | 53d |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Quarterly ↗ | Sep 30, 2023 | 33d |
Current reports
| Filed | Disclosed |
|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | Director or officer change ↗ |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Results ↗ |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Results ↗ |
| May 6, 2026 | Results ↗ |
| May 6, 2026 | Results ↗ |
| May 5, 2026 | Director or officer change · Regulation FD ↗ |
| May 4, 2026 | Shareholder vote ↗ |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Regulation FD ↗ |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Results ↗ |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Results ↗ |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Other events ↗ |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Director or officer change ↗ |