VST
Vistra Corp. Utilities Electric Services S&P 500Russell 3000
$138.37Close
$46.8BMarket cap
$134.52 – $192.2452-week range
Nov 6, 2026Next report · before the open
Highlights
Cautions
- Not in an uptrend 0 of 8 trend conditions
- Lagging the market RS 20 · weaker than 80% of stocks over 12 months
- Far from its high 28% below its 52-week high
- Earnings shrinking EPS −5% year on year
- Results soon Nov 6, 2026, in 5 days
- Financial distress Altman Z″ in the distress zone
Price
Filing Results Screen pick 52-week high and low Adjusted prices
Key figures
Off 12-month high
28%
1wk
down 1.3%
price change
1mo
0.0%
price change
12-month return
down 27%
market up 11% ·
its own down 41%
F-score
—
— Not assessed
Altman Z″
0.04
Elevated risk
P/E
49.6×
price / earnings
PEG
—
P/E / EPS growth
P/B
9.2×
price / book
Earnings yield
up 3.0%
EBIT / enterprise value
Cheaper than
36%
of the market · expensive
Revenue growth
up 19%
year on year
EPS growth
down 5%
latest quarter
Sales growth
up 17%
latest quarter · -0 pts
ROE
up 18%
return on equity
Free cash margin
up 7%
$1.3B FCF
D/E
3.34
long-term debt / equity
Net debt / EBITDA
4.2×
Interest cover
—EBIT / interest
Trade setup
ATR%
5.1%
$7.04 a day · 2×ATR $124.28
RS
20 / 99
vs the universe
Trend
0 / 8
trend template
Relative volume
0.9×
vs 50-day average
Up/down volume
1.18
50 sessions
Implied move
8.2%
by Nov 6, 2026 · report Nov 6, 2026
Trend template · 0 of 8
Screen verdict
Did not qualify for any screen.
Warning signs
- Bankruptcy model reads distressed The Altman score sits inside the range historically associated with financial distress. It is used here only to exclude, never to rank, and it is a statistical band rather than a prediction about this company.
- Heavily indebted Net debt is 4.2 times EBITDA — roughly 4 years of earnings before interest, tax and depreciation to repay borrowings in full.
Last reported
Aug 7, 2026
Results reaction
Aug 7, 20260% vs market2 sessions after results
Options
$20.1M52.4% IV · activity
Financials
- Net 5%
- Free cash 7%
- Cash
- Long-term debt
| FY2020Dec 31, 2020 | FY2021Dec 31, 2021 | FY2022Dec 31, 2022 | FY2023Dec 31, 2023 | FY2024Dec 31, 2024 | FY2025Dec 31, 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $10.8B | $17.7B | $15.6B | $13.8B | $14.8B | $17.6B |
| Operating income | $1.5B | -$1.5B | -$1.2B | $2.7B | $4.1B | $1.9B |
| Net income | $636.0M | -$1.3B | -$1.2B | $1.5B | $2.7B | $944.0M |
| Net margin | 6% | -7% | -8% | 11% | 18% | 5% |
| Earnings per share | $1.30 | -$2.64 | -$2.90 | $3.98 | $7.54 | $2.73 |
| Free cash flow | $2.1B | -$1.2B | -$816.0M | $3.8B | $2.5B | $1.3B |
| Free cash margin | 19% | -7% | -5% | 27% | 17% | 7% |
| Cash | $406.0M | $1.3B | $455.0M | $3.5B | $1.2B | $785.0M |
| Long-term debt | $9.3B | $10.7B | $12.0B | $14.4B | $16.3B | $17.0B |
| Shareholders' equity | $8.4B | $8.3B | $4.9B | $5.3B | $5.6B | $5.1B |
| Shares outstanding | 489.31m | 469.07m | 389.75m | 351.46m | 339.75m | 338.06m |
Next report
Nov 6, 2026 · before the open
Expected move The move, either way, the option market prices in through the next scheduled report: the at-the-money straddle for the first expiry that contains it, over the price. It includes the days around the report, so it slightly overstates the report alone. Methodology
±8.2%
$128 – $150 by Nov 6, 2026
Usual move The median, over the company's last four reports, of how far the stock moved either way from the close before the filing to the close of the session after it. Methodology
±1.0%
last 4: +1.1% · -6.7% · -0.8% · +0.9%
Expected against usual The move the options price through this report over the move the last four reports delivered. Above 1 the event is priced bigger than the company's own record; below 1, smaller. A price, not a forecast: it says what protection through the report costs, not which way the stock will go. Methodology
Bigger than usual
8.6× the usual move
What options price now
- Expected 1-month range The at-the-money straddle for the expiry nearest a month out, as a share of the price: the move, either way, the option market is pricing by then. The range is the price plus and minus that move; the stock ends inside it a little more often than not. Methodology
- $123 – $155 ±11.7% by Nov 27, 2026
- Swings expected vs recent The daily swings the options are priced for (implied volatility) against the swings the stock actually had over the last 20 sessions (realised volatility). Bigger means options charge for more movement than the stock has been delivering; smaller, less. On a contract row, that contract's own implied volatility over the stock's realised. Methodology
- Smaller 52.4% priced · 72.4% recent
- Next month vs later At-the-money implied volatility for 8-45 day expiries over 46-90 day ones: whether options price the coming month as choppier or calmer than the two after it. Ahead of a report it usually reads choppier, and the extra comes out once the report is out. Methodology
- Choppier
- Crash protection What options that pay off in a fall cost against options that pay off in a rise (the 25-delta skew), compared with this company's own normal - the median of its stored nightly readings, once there are 20 - and with five sessions ago. Protection costs a little more than upside on most shares. More than usual means readers of the chain are paying up to insure against a drop; it does not say which way the stock will go. Methodology
- past week: costs less
Positioning
- Premium traded
- $20.1M calls $10.4M · puts $9.7M · latest session
- 0.92× -0.39 over the week
- Open interest added The change over five sessions in option positions left open overnight, calls and puts. A rise means positions were added. It cannot say whether they were bought or sold, so more calls is not a vote for a rise: a call is as often sold against shares already held. Methodology
- calls -7.49k · puts -20.88k past week
For options traders: ATM IV 52.4% (-2.0% 1w) · 1m ÷ 3m IV 1.10 · 25Δ skew 1.8 pts · Net GEX -$11.0M
Most traded contracts
No contract passed the liquidity filters this week.
Filings
| Filed | Report | Period to | Lag |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Quarterly ↗ | Jun 30, 2026 | 41d |
| May 8, 2026 | Quarterly ↗ | Mar 31, 2026 | 38d |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Annual ↗ | Dec 31, 2025 | 58d |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Quarterly ↗ | Sep 30, 2025 | 38d |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Quarterly ↗ | Jun 30, 2025 | 39d |
| May 8, 2025 | Quarterly ↗ | Mar 31, 2025 | 38d |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Annual ↗ | Dec 31, 2024 | 59d |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Quarterly ↗ | Sep 30, 2024 | 39d |
| Aug 9, 2024 | Quarterly ↗ | Jun 30, 2024 | 40d |
| May 10, 2024 | Quarterly ↗ | Mar 31, 2024 | 40d |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Annual ↗ | Dec 31, 2023 | 60d |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Quarterly ↗ | Sep 30, 2023 | 38d |
Current reports
| Filed | Disclosed |
|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Material agreement · New obligation ↗ |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Material agreement · Other events ↗ |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Results ↗ |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Material agreement · New obligation ↗ |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Other events ↗ |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Material agreement · New obligation ↗ |
| May 7, 2026 | Results ↗ |
| May 4, 2026 | Shareholder vote ↗ |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Material agreement · New obligation ↗ |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Results ↗ |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Material agreement · New obligation ↗ |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Regulation FD ↗ |